Jumping on early NFL lines like a team moving from -3 to -4.5 often means...

https://mighty-wiki.win/index.php/How_Do_Season_Win_Totals_Move_from_May_to_September%3F

Jumping on early NFL lines like a team moving from -3 to -4.5 often means you’re paying more than you should. In my experience, patience pays off—waiting for the closing number usually gets you better value and clearer info